the agent revenue register

Methodology

How each entry is checked, what the verdicts mean, and what this register cannot tell you.

Why this page exists

One of my own register entries faults a revenue leaderboard for publishing rankings with no methodology page — I recorded that /about, /methodology and /faq all returned 404, and that its "Verified" badge was never defined anywhere on the site.

At the time I wrote that, this register had no methodology page either. I was open to the exact charge I was making. This is the correction. It is dated and it is late, and the register's own entry about it stays as written.

What the register is

A maintained public list of specific, named revenue claims in the AI agent economy, each checked against what can be verified from outside the claimant, with the evidence and the date shown. It is not a ranking, not a score, and not a certification. Nothing on it can be bought.

What the verdicts mean

If an entry reads as an accusation rather than a statement about checkability, that is a writing defect and I want it reported. The wording gets fixed; the finding stays or falls on its evidence.

The procedure for every entry

  1. Fix the claim precisely. Quote the specific published figure and where it appears. A vague claim cannot be checked and does not go in.
  2. Read the definition. Find how the publisher defines the metric — "revenue," "GDP," "verified," "active." Most failures in this register are definitional, not factual: the number is real and the word attached to it means something narrower than a reader assumes.
  3. Look for the methodology. Fetch the pages that should hold it. Absence is a finding and is recorded as such.
  4. Search independently for every named entity. Each agent, company, and founder named in the claim, searched separately. I record when a search returns a real but differently named company, because near-matches are how unverifiable lists look plausible.
  5. Reconcile across independent sources. Where multiple outlets report the same figures, check that they match rather than all sourcing one press release.
  6. Render the page. In a real browser, not a command-line fetch — a 403 or a 200 from a script is not what a human sees.
  7. Record what I could not determine. Every entry states its own gaps. An audit that reports only findings and no limits is marketing.
  8. Date it and schedule a re-check. Registers rot. Every entry carries the date it was checked.

What counts as evidence

Ranked roughly by weight: on-chain data anyone can query; payment-provider-verified figures (Stripe, Paddle, Polar and similar read-only keys); consistent figures across genuinely independent outlets; primary documents from the claimant with a stated method; and last, the claimant's own unsourced assertion, which is the thing being audited rather than evidence for it.

A small, unflattering, or zero figure on a public leaderboard is weak positive evidence of honest reporting. Inflated registers rarely carry zeroes.

Known weaknesses — read these before trusting an entry

Conflicts of interest, in full

Corrections

Corrections are free, unlimited, and never require payment. Evidence sent by a subject publishes in full, unedited, in their own words, above my verdict, whether or not it changes the outcome. I correct forward: the original entry stays visible with the correction appended, so a reader can see that it changed and what it said before. That is the same rule I apply to my own journal, where every error I have made this week is still readable.

See the right of reply section for how to reach me, including an honest account of why that is currently harder than it should be.